Long Range Weather Forecast For Ireland - 2 Nov 2010

TODAY ... breezy to windy for most, periods of rain becoming heavy at times by afternoon especially in Connacht, Clare into parts of Ulster and inland Leinster ... winds SW 25-45 mph most of the day but higher gusts especially Connacht by late afternoon (55-65 mph possible), rainfalls 10-15 mms although perhaps not this much in southeast, and highs generally 13-15 C.

TONIGHT ... another mild night with strong westerly winds and drizzle or showery light rain at times, winds WSW 25-45 mph, lows near 8 C north and 10 C south.

WEDNESDAY ... continued breezy or windy, and very mild, with further light showery rain but possibly some brighter intervals developing, winds more WSW at 20-40 mph, highs 13-15 C. Staying mild overnight to Thursday morning near 7-9 C.

THURSDAY ... variable cloud, another interval of heavier rain developing late in the day, steady SW winds at about 20-35 mph, highs near 14 C. Some places may get 20-30 mms of rain late Thursday overnight into Friday as it stays very mild near 11 C.

FRIDAY ... windy and mild with early morning heavy rain, followed by showers but possibly some partial clearing, highs near 14 C. (winds SW to W at about 30-50 mph)

SATURDAY ... breezy and turning cooler, with showers ... highs near 12 C ... winds becoming WNW 25-45 mph.

SUNDAY ... variable cloud, a few showers mainly near west coast, winds becoming more NW to N at 20-40 mph, highs near 9 C.

Models are starting to converge on a more vigorous northwesterly flow next week as a cold vortex develops near Iceland and drops southeast across the U.K., bringing a strong northwest flow of "polar maritime" air to Ireland. This would likely produce some hill snow or sleet and chilly temperatures of only 5-8 C near sea level, favouring hail showers at times. This colder spell might last a few days before moderating back to a milder Atlantic westerly flow.

Meanwhile, today here in Vancouver was a cloudy day with occasional light rain, and highs of about 11 C. Tomas continues to move steadily west in the Caribbean and is well south of Puerto Rico but models continue to show potential for a northward turn towards eastern Jamaica or Haiti and Dominincan Republic around Thursday. Fears of a major hurricane strike have abated but the current weak tropical storm could return to cat-1 hurricane intensity by then.

The Clare Herald Daily Long Range Weather Forecast provided by Peter O'Donnell

USEFUL WEATHER LINKS

FANORE SURF REPORT here

AUTOMATED WEATHER STATION AT BLACK HEAD, FANORE here

LATEST CONDITIONS AROUND IRELAND here

DAILY WEATHER DATA FROM CO CLARE here

UK AND IRELAND SATELLITE here

WIND OBSERVATION MAP here

IRISH WEATHER FORUM here

RAINFALL RADAR




Stormy weather at Portbradden, North Antrim, Northern Ireland- OCT 19 2010



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