TODAY ... gradual clearing to partly cloudy skies in the west, while the rain should ease off by mid-morning (about 1030h) in eastern Ireland, except in the southeast where it will continue to about mid-day. Brighter intervals will follow from the west but there could still be one or two brief showers, and the SW winds will veer more westerly at 20-30 mph. It will stay very mild with highs of 15-16 C.
TONIGHT ... periods of rain redeveloping, winds SSW 15-30 mph, very mild with fog developing, lows 10-12 C. This rainfall will average 15-20 mms.
FRIDAY ... rain becoming squally at times with winds picking up from SW veering to W at 20-40 mph, some higher gusts in Donegal and Mayo, still very mild but temperatures dropping slightly in the north by late afternoon. Highs of about 14-15 C. A further 10-15 mms of rain.
SATURDAY ... breezy or locally windy and cooler with showers merging to periods of light rain, 5-8 mms on average, winds WNW 20-35 mph, lows near
5 C and highs near 9-10 C. Just a few brief sunny breaks more likely near south and east coasts.
SUNDAY ... becoming windy with rain developing and becoming heavy at times late in the day, winds backing from strong SW to SE then ENE as the storm drops south across or just west of Ireland. There are indications this could produce winds of 30-50 mph by Sunday night, with a driving rain that could become sleety or snowy on high ground, as temperatures fall to about 5-6 C near sea level and 0-3 C higher up. This storm will persist into Monday especially in the south and east, with 20-40 mms of rain possible.
Models are still having some trouble giving us a definite track and evolution for this storm, and it could move by fairly quickly leading to some clearing by early Tuesday (in which case it would become frosty), or it may stall closer to Ireland in northwest France, and allow the rain and strong E-NE winds to continue for another day. In any case, improvements should follow by mid-week and there could be a return to milder weather but with another episode of strong winds and showers. The situation looks a bit suspect and I feel that the models may continue to have trouble with this system until almost the day before it arrives.
Meanwhile, we've enjoyed a very pleasant sunny day here in Vancouver on Wed 3rd, with a high near 15 C. The southeast U.S. is seeing rain from a developing east coast low, and Tomas is slowly recovering its strength and looking like a Friday morning strike on Haiti, hopefully not overly severe but as flooding and mudslides are the big risk, this would not need to be that intense a storm for problems to develop. Jamaica will get more of a glancing blow later today.
Irish Business Today Daily Long Range Weather Forecast provided by Peter O'Donnell
TONIGHT ... periods of rain redeveloping, winds SSW 15-30 mph, very mild with fog developing, lows 10-12 C. This rainfall will average 15-20 mms.
FRIDAY ... rain becoming squally at times with winds picking up from SW veering to W at 20-40 mph, some higher gusts in Donegal and Mayo, still very mild but temperatures dropping slightly in the north by late afternoon. Highs of about 14-15 C. A further 10-15 mms of rain.
SATURDAY ... breezy or locally windy and cooler with showers merging to periods of light rain, 5-8 mms on average, winds WNW 20-35 mph, lows near
5 C and highs near 9-10 C. Just a few brief sunny breaks more likely near south and east coasts.
SUNDAY ... becoming windy with rain developing and becoming heavy at times late in the day, winds backing from strong SW to SE then ENE as the storm drops south across or just west of Ireland. There are indications this could produce winds of 30-50 mph by Sunday night, with a driving rain that could become sleety or snowy on high ground, as temperatures fall to about 5-6 C near sea level and 0-3 C higher up. This storm will persist into Monday especially in the south and east, with 20-40 mms of rain possible.
Models are still having some trouble giving us a definite track and evolution for this storm, and it could move by fairly quickly leading to some clearing by early Tuesday (in which case it would become frosty), or it may stall closer to Ireland in northwest France, and allow the rain and strong E-NE winds to continue for another day. In any case, improvements should follow by mid-week and there could be a return to milder weather but with another episode of strong winds and showers. The situation looks a bit suspect and I feel that the models may continue to have trouble with this system until almost the day before it arrives.
Meanwhile, we've enjoyed a very pleasant sunny day here in Vancouver on Wed 3rd, with a high near 15 C. The southeast U.S. is seeing rain from a developing east coast low, and Tomas is slowly recovering its strength and looking like a Friday morning strike on Haiti, hopefully not overly severe but as flooding and mudslides are the big risk, this would not need to be that intense a storm for problems to develop. Jamaica will get more of a glancing blow later today.
Irish Business Today Daily Long Range Weather Forecast provided by Peter O'Donnell
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